The Multivac

Methodology

Phase 2 • Active

About & Methodology

How The Multivac evaluates frontier AI models through blind, rigorous, daily testing — using category-specific model pools and peer matrix evaluation.

The Name

Why "The Multivac"?

In Isaac Asimov's 1956 short story "The Last Question," Multivac is a supercomputer that humanity consults across millions of years, asking increasingly profound questions about the universe.

We're doing something similar — asking frontier AI models the questions that matter, and watching how they answer. Unlike Asimov's Multivac, we don't expect a single oracle. We test them all, compare them blindly, and let the data speak.

"The last question was asked for the first time, half in jest... 'How can the net amount of entropy of the universe be massively decreased?'"

— Isaac Asimov, "The Last Question" (1956)

Timeline

The Evolution

  1. Foundation Questions

    Phase 1 • Complete

    Phase 1 ran from December 23, 2025 to January 12, 2026 — 21 daily questions exploring AI capabilities across diverse domains: physics, philosophy, AI research, economics, and more.

    Each question was posed to multiple frontier models. Their raw responses were published in full, allowing readers to compare and judge for themselves.

  2. 10×10 Peer Matrix Evaluation

    Phase 2 • Active

    Starting January 13, 2026, we upgraded to a rigorous evaluation framework with category-specific model pools. Each category (Code, Reasoning, Analysis, Communication, Edge Cases) has its own optimized pool of 10 models based on OpenRouter rankings.

    All 10 models answer each question, then all 10 models judge all 10 responses — 100 total judgments per evaluation. This eliminates single-judge bias.

    • Category-Optimized Pools Code questions judged by coding-focused models. Reasoning questions by reasoning specialists.
    • Blind Evaluation Judges don't know which model produced which response
    • Peer Consensus 100 judgments average out individual model biases
    • Meta-Analysis Track which models are strictest judges, most lenient, most consistent

Rosters

Category Model Pools

Each category uses a specialized pool of 10 models optimized for that domain, based on OpenRouter's category rankings and our testing.

Programming & Code

Monday

Software engineering, debugging, code review, and agentic coding tasks

  1. #1Grok Code Fast 1xAI
  2. #2Claude Opus 4.5Anthropic
  3. #3Gemini 3 FlashGoogle
  4. #4Claude Sonnet 4.5Anthropic
  5. #5Gemini 3 ProGoogle
  6. #6MiniMax M2.1MiniMax
  7. #7GLM 4.7Z.AI
  8. #8DeepSeek V3.2DeepSeek
  9. #9GPT-5.2-CodexOpenAI
  10. #10Grok 3xAI

Reasoning & Logic

Tuesday

Logical reasoning, scientific thinking, mathematics, and complex problem solving

  1. #1MiMo-V2-FlashXiaomi
  2. #2Gemini 3 FlashGoogle
  3. #3Claude Sonnet 4.5Anthropic
  4. #4DeepSeek V3.2DeepSeek
  5. #5Claude Opus 4.5Anthropic
  6. #6Gemini 3 ProGoogle
  7. #7Gemini 2.5 FlashGoogle
  8. #8GPT-OSS-120BOpenAI
  9. #9Olmo 3.1 32B ThinkAllenAI
  10. #10Grok 3xAI

Analysis & Research

Wednesday

Data analysis, financial modeling, academic research, and document review

  1. #1MiMo-V2-FlashXiaomi
  2. #2Gemini 3 FlashGoogle
  3. #3Gemini 2.5 FlashGoogle
  4. #4GPT-OSS-120BOpenAI
  5. #5DeepSeek V3.2DeepSeek
  6. #6Claude Sonnet 4.5Anthropic
  7. #7Claude Opus 4.5Anthropic
  8. #8GPT-OSS-120BOpenAI
  9. #9Gemini 3 ProGoogle
  10. #10Grok 4.1 FastxAI

Communication & Writing

Thursday

Marketing copy, translation, creative writing, and interpersonal communication

  1. #1Gemini 2.5 Flash-LiteGoogle
  2. #2Seed 1.6 FlashByteDance
  3. #3Gemini 2.5 FlashGoogle
  4. #4GPT-OSS-120BOpenAI
  5. #5Grok 4.1 FastxAI
  6. #6DeepSeek V3.2DeepSeek
  7. #7GLM 4.7Z.AI
  8. #8Claude Sonnet 4.5Anthropic
  9. #9Claude Opus 4.5Anthropic
  10. #10Mistral Small CreativeMistral

Meta & Alignment / Edge Cases

Friday & Saturday

AI alignment, safety, edge cases, and meta-level reasoning about AI systems

  1. #1Claude Opus 4.5Anthropic
  2. #2Gemini 3 ProGoogle
  3. #3Claude Sonnet 4.5Anthropic
  4. #4GPT-5.2-CodexOpenAI
  5. #5GPT-OSS-120BOpenAI
  6. #6Gemini 3 FlashGoogle
  7. #7DeepSeek V3.2DeepSeek
  8. #8MiMo-V2-FlashXiaomi
  9. #9Grok 4.1 FastxAI
  10. #10Grok 3xAI

Procedure

How Evaluation Works

  1. Step 1: Generation

    All 10 models from the category pool receive the identical prompt. They don't know they're being compared or who else is participating.

  2. Step 2: Blind Judgment

    Each model evaluates all 10 responses (including others' and their own, though self-judgments are excluded from rankings). Judges see only the response text — no model names.

    Judges ↓ · Responses → Recused
    FIG. 1 — 10 judges × 10 responses = 100 judgments (diagonal = self-judgments, excluded)
  3. Step 3: Scoring

    Each judgment scores the response on five criteria:

    Criterion Description Weight
    Correctness Is the answer factually and logically correct? 25%
    Completeness Does it address all aspects of the question? 20%
    Clarity Is the response clear and well-structured? 20%
    Depth Does it show deep understanding? 20%
    Usefulness Would this actually help someone? 15%
  4. Step 4: Aggregation

    Each model's score is the average of all judgments it received (excluding self-judgments). With 9 judges scoring each response, individual biases are smoothed out.

Rationale

Why Peer Evaluation?

01

No Single-Judge Bias

Most benchmarks use GPT-4 as the sole evaluator. That means GPT-4's biases contaminate every result. We use 10 judges.

02

Domain Expertise

Code questions are judged by coding specialists. Communication by communication-focused models. Better signal, less noise.

03

Statistical Validity

With 9 judgments per response (excluding self), outlier opinions are smoothed out. The rankings reflect consensus.

04

Meta-Insights

We learn which models are harsh critics vs. lenient graders. This data is valuable and unique.

Ground Rules

Our Principles

  • No Affiliations We don't work for any AI lab. We pay for API access like everyone else.
  • Full Transparency Exact prompts, scoring criteria, and raw outputs are published.
  • Reproducibility Anyone can verify our results using the same prompts.
  • Fresh Questions New questions daily that can't be pre-memorized or gamed.

Follow Along

Follow The Multivac

Daily evaluations. Category-optimized pools. Blind judgments.